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JOYCE MCMILLAN for The Scotsman 29.4.11
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PHEW, THAT was a close thing. I realise that there’s widespread agreement that it would take a fairly spectacular disaster, now, to derail the SNP bandwagon rolling towards victory in next week’s Scottish Parliament election. Yet I can’t help feeling that a bad picture of Alex Salmond in a tail-coat, dressed up like a large dish of fish for today’s Royal Wedding at Westminster Abbey, could have done the party’s popularity more damage than seems reasonable. These are image-conscious times, after all; and no-one wants their First Minister to look daft, particularly in front of the massed ranks of the English establishment.
As it turns out, though, the First Minister has decided to wear a smart lounge-suit, with a saltire tie; and his wife Moira will be wearing a hat which her husband has described as “nice”. The First Minister has even gone on record with the news that the invitation to the wedding specifies that guests should wear lounge suits; which only makes this week’s hoo-ha the more puzzling, over David Cameron’s decision to appear in morning dress, and Nick Clegg’s indecisive scramble to be upsides with him.
Behind all this foolishness, though, there lie some serious questions about the current shape of Scottish political life, and its relationship to the ritual being played out at Westminster today. On the nationalist side of the argument, there are those who find Alex Salmond’s relaxed and even affable relationship with the Royal Family both puzzling and inappropriate; in their book, the whole point of Scottish independence is to get away from all this British tradition and symbolism, and to transform the country into a people’s republic.
And on the Unionist side, there are those who persist in portraying Alex Salmond as a wolf in sheep’s clothing, an outwardly clubbable sort who, given the chance, will suddenly rip the British state asunder, and unleash constitutional mayhem on an unsuspecting nation. It was this view of Salmond that the Scottish Labour leader was presumably trying to reinforce on Monday, when he relaunched his faltering campaign with an attack on the SNP leader as “downright dangerous”.
In truth, though, both the SNP republicans and the fear-mongering Unionists are increasingly out of touch with Scottish opinion; and the reasons why are pretty obvious.
For in the first place, it’s simply a mistake – made by the SNP fundamentalists, and compounded by Scottish Labour – to imagine that this Scottish Parliament election is in any way about the issue of independence; on the contrary, it hardly features on most voters’ radar. Scotland has just lived through a four-year demonstration of how difficult it is for an SNP minority government at Holyrood to achieve even a referendum on independence, far less an actual victory in such a referendum; and so long as the SNP does not win a landslide victory – made extremely difficult by our additional-member voting system – that situation is not likely to change. What does concern voters is the relative competence, determination and coherence of the two main parties in defending Scottish interests at a time of severe cuts in the UK budget, and a conscious assault on the public sector by a right-leaning Westminster government; and in that competition, Alex Salmond and his team seem to be winning, hands down.
Then secondly, there is the simple truth that in the 21st century world we now inhabit, national sovereignty is always qualified by other considerations, and no longer matters nearly as much as it did eighty years ago, when the modern SNP was taking shape. When Alex and Moira Salmond take their seats in Westminster Abbey tomorrow, they will be sitting alongside representatives of nation-states – Ireland, Greece, Portugal – that have entirely lost their economic sovereignty in the recent economic crash; and also of federal governments in Madrid, Ottawa and Berlin that can barely act without taking account of their most mighty and economically powerful regions – Catalonia, Quebec, Bavaria. It’s economic strength and resilience, as much as constitutional independence, that now determines the extent of a nation’s power over its own fate; and all Scottish politicians would be well advised to remember that, in their last few frenzied days of campaigning.
And in terms of the monarchy – well, as Alex Salmond has understood, the British monarchy, at least under its present incumbent, has vast experience of negotiating the shifting sands and subtle nuances of modern sovereignty and statehood, and understands the terrain far better than any Westminster government. The Queen remains head of state in Canada, Australia, and many other Commonwealth countries, despite their political independence; and as Buckingham Palace is well aware, there is no technical reason why she should cease to be Scotland’s head of state, even in the event of Scotland becoming indpendent.
It remains to be seen, of course, whether Prince William will inherit his grandmother’s skill in navigating the changing politics of Union; the growing Thames-Valley insularity of the modern British boss-class will inevitably make his task more difficult. Until the distant day when Scotland’s republicans find themselves in a decisive majority, though, it seems likely that Alex and Moira Salmond will have to get along with the royals, including William and Kate.
So they might as well enjoy their day at Westminster, and sing along lustily with the mighty traditional hymns the couple have chosen; Love Divine, Cwm Rhondda, and William Blake’s Jerusalem. And as for the idea that the wedding itself, or the Salmonds’ presence at it, will do the SNP any electoral damage – well, I think not. For every republican disgusted by the spectacle, and every Unionist driven tearfully back into the arms of Annabel Goldie by the emotion of the day, there will be half a dozen who will feel relieved that although Alex Salmond is a nationalist, he is not about to destroy every aspect of the Union; and is capable of sharing the happiness of a young couple who seem genuinely glad to be together. And the more that moderate message is received and understood, the less reluctant Scotland will be to vote SNP; and the stronger the likelihood of a second victory for Alex Salmond, come next Thursday.
ENDS ENDS